Unlocking the Power of Predictive Analytics in Healthcare with Dr. Paulo Pinho, the Chief Medical and Strategy Officer at Discern Health
May 17, 202400:09:03

Unlocking the Power of Predictive Analytics in Healthcare with Dr. Paulo Pinho, the Chief Medical and Strategy Officer at Discern Health

Predictive analytics can identify and prevent high-cost, high-impact healthcare events.

In this episode at HIMSS 2024, Dr. Paulo Pinho, the Chief Medical and Strategy Officer at Discern Health, discusses his team’s role in predicting and preventing complicated medical events like frailty, congestive heart failure, and fall risk. He emphasizes the importance of explainable predictive models and their impact on various stakeholders in healthcare, including patients, caregivers, payers, and providers. He delves into how Discern Health integrates into clinical workflows by providing insights to intervene before patients experience declines in health. Paulo also highlights their focus on Medicare Advantage populations, aiming to improve care management strategies and reduce hospitalizations and readmissions, and the collaborative nature of healthcare innovation, emphasizing patient-centered solutions and the need for technology to alleviate provider burnout. 

Tune in and learn how predictive analytics are shaping the future of healthcare to better serve high-risk populations while maintaining a patient-centric approach!


Resources: 

  • Watch the entire interview here
  • Connect and learn more about Paulo on LinkedIn.
  • Learn more about Discern Health on their LinkedIn, X, and website.

[00:00:02] Hey, everybody.

[00:00:03] Welcome back to the Outcomes Rocket, recording live here at HIMSS 2024.

[00:00:08] Today, I have the privilege of hosting Dr. Paolo Pino.

[00:00:11] He is the Chief Medical and Strategy Officer at Discern Health.

[00:00:15] Dr. Pino, thanks for joining me today.

[00:00:17] Thanks for having me.

[00:00:18] I appreciate being here.

[00:00:19] The pleasure.

[00:00:19] So before we kick things off, I'd like to just get a little better understanding about

[00:00:24] Discern Health.

[00:00:25] What do you guys do?

[00:00:26] And who's the main stakeholder that benefits from the work?

[00:00:28] We're actually a predictive analytics company.

[00:00:31] We focus on high-risk patients, particularly those in the older age demographics.

[00:00:37] Really focused on clinical outcomes of complicated medical events.

[00:00:41] For example, diagnosis of frailty, diagnosis of congestive heart failure,

[00:00:46] diagnosis of things that lead to declines in cognition,

[00:00:50] utilization patterns in the hospital system, fall risk.

[00:00:53] So high impact things in health care that tend to be high cost

[00:00:57] that can be identified, predicted and prevented.

[00:01:00] And so that's really what Discern Health does.

[00:01:02] We're a pre-seed startup.

[00:01:05] We're about a year and a half old now.

[00:01:08] And a small growing team of data scientists and clinicians that are really focused on

[00:01:12] not only creating predictive models, but creating predictive models with explainability,

[00:01:16] which I think is really important.

[00:01:18] In terms of stakeholders, there's various.

[00:01:20] Obviously, everyone benefits from health improvement.

[00:01:22] Patients, caregivers, which are often the crosshairs of many of the challenges associated

[00:01:27] with care provision for that demographic.

[00:01:29] But then also payers, Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, providers.

[00:01:33] So really multi-lens in terms of our desire to improve various stakeholders

[00:01:37] within the health care ecosystem.

[00:01:38] Ricky Fascinating.

[00:01:39] Thanks for sharing that.

[00:01:40] And how do you layer into the workflow and the timing of that in the entire process?

[00:01:46] Dr. Sajid So it depends on what data assets are used

[00:01:49] for a particular customers.

[00:01:50] Obviously, there's data assets that are more real time.

[00:01:52] Clinical data, for example, tends to be much more real time.

[00:01:55] We're exploring even some more up to the minute data sets,

[00:01:58] things in the wearable space, etc.

[00:02:00] Which you can get up to the second kind of insights.

[00:02:03] But certainly clinical data is probably the most real time,

[00:02:06] continuous data feed that we have right now.

[00:02:08] Claims data tends to be beneficial in some regards,

[00:02:11] sometimes particularly not only with the concordance with the clinical data,

[00:02:14] but sometimes even in its discordance.

[00:02:16] There's actually some insights that can be achieved there.

[00:02:18] The challenge with that is that there's often a lag.

[00:02:20] There's often not the granularity that you need.

[00:02:23] So in terms of provider workflows, it's really about giving them insights

[00:02:26] into the fact that someone's at risk.

[00:02:28] Most of our models have a long tail that we're predicting somebody

[00:02:31] that's kind of progressing towards frailty in the next X number of months

[00:02:36] or this kind of year, really to intervene before they actually get down

[00:02:40] on that downward spiral that's going to lead to their decline.

[00:02:44] Same thing with something like fall risk, a big precursor is things like frailty.

[00:02:47] So identifying that someone is declining so that you can say,

[00:02:50] hey, let's intervene and maybe do medication management,

[00:02:53] maybe do correction of some of the clinical outcomes

[00:02:56] that the person has for their chronic diseases, et cetera.

[00:02:59] So that's the way provider workflows are embedded in terms of payer workflows,

[00:03:03] in terms of provider organizations and hospital systems.

[00:03:06] I don't think that real time up to the minute at the point of care is necessary,

[00:03:10] but we're really providing that insight into workflows,

[00:03:13] care management solutions, et cetera, to really drive that insight better for them

[00:03:17] so that you really have people that are working top of their license

[00:03:22] to be actors within the health care ecosystem,

[00:03:24] to be able to exercise change and create impact.

[00:03:26] So that's the way we work.

[00:03:27] Ah, thanks, Dr. Pino.

[00:03:29] And is the focus on a particular population?

[00:03:31] Are you guys focused on Medicare Advantage?

[00:03:34] Are you focused on commercial?

[00:03:36] Tell me about that.

[00:03:36] Yeah, so I think Medicare Advantage is a great entry point, right?

[00:03:39] It's really about right sizing, but not only the HEDIS and risk adjustment

[00:03:44] and things like that are associated with what tend to be very transactional,

[00:03:47] but really around the value based care concept,

[00:03:49] really around the care management strategy,

[00:03:51] really creating that care journey for that individual.

[00:03:54] A hospitalization can be exorbitantly priced, right?

[00:03:57] So how do we prevent that?

[00:03:58] Readmissions, there's challenges with follow up in patients that have mission risk

[00:04:03] and the lack of follow up in 50% of patients within the Medicare Advantage space is huge, right?

[00:04:08] So how do we nudge those people to nudge the providers,

[00:04:10] nudge the care managers to get these people the necessary care?

[00:04:13] Because that's a huge cost for our health care system

[00:04:15] and fully worsening with an increased volume of that demographic in terms of patient base.

[00:04:21] But then also dealing with some of the supply issues around health care providers

[00:04:26] that are dwindling in numbers in today's health care ecosystem.

[00:04:29] Totally, yeah.

[00:04:30] Being able to tackle those most important situations with the staffing that we have today.

[00:04:36] Absolutely.

[00:04:36] Makes a lot of sense.

[00:04:38] Look, we're here at HIMSS.

[00:04:40] Why did you decide to come?

[00:04:41] Why did the company decide to come?

[00:04:42] And what's one insight that's risen to the top for you in these last few days?

[00:04:46] Yeah, it's exciting.

[00:04:47] There's a lot of people doing a lot of great things, some of it analogous to what we're doing.

[00:04:51] My philosophy is obviously from an egocentric standpoint,

[00:04:54] I'd love to have everybody like choose us,

[00:04:56] but I know that there's other great solutions that are doing similar things,

[00:04:59] maybe even more prescriptive or more accurate in one particular disease state.

[00:05:03] We tend to have models that are a little bit more expansive.

[00:05:05] But I think what you learn from conferences like this is that it really takes a village.

[00:05:09] I think this model of you have an end-to-end solution that does everything,

[00:05:12] that's become the thing of the past, right?

[00:05:15] Really looking at the entire data value chain

[00:05:19] that leads to the predictive models is a huge piece of it.

[00:05:22] How you exercise an impact on that population,

[00:05:26] the suite of products that exist to support,

[00:05:28] hey, you've identified someone that has a risk,

[00:05:30] now how do you deploy health care to that person?

[00:05:32] So you think about organizations that are doing data access,

[00:05:36] data normalization, data quality improvement,

[00:05:39] lending that data quality to predict the models like ours,

[00:05:42] and then organizations that are able to take it to the final mile and say,

[00:05:45] hey, we've identified this person has a risk,

[00:05:47] here's some community resources that are available,

[00:05:50] here's some technology that's available to prevent falls

[00:05:53] or to identify when a fall happens or perhaps fall 911 earlier

[00:05:57] so that we're not stuck with somebody who has a host of complications

[00:06:01] because they were at home and not attended to for a day, right?

[00:06:06] So I think it's exciting to see that,

[00:06:08] and part of our strategy here is not only to share our message,

[00:06:11] where we have a booth here at 3161, we're in the Microsoft booth,

[00:06:15] but then also to really look at the best of breed solutions

[00:06:17] that are doing great things in health care

[00:06:19] that we could partner with for a common strategy

[00:06:22] of helping this very much at need population.

[00:06:24] Yeah, it's a big need.

[00:06:25] You guys are doing fantastic work.

[00:06:27] For all the viewers and listeners out there,

[00:06:30] what would you leave them with as a call to action?

[00:06:33] And then what's the best place they could find you

[00:06:35] and your team at Discern?

[00:06:36] I think in terms of call to action,

[00:06:38] I think we tend to forget that patient centricity

[00:06:41] is a huge part of why we're all here.

[00:06:43] I don't want that to be forgotten.

[00:06:45] I think that health care consumer behavior is challenging.

[00:06:48] Understanding the challenges of accessing the health care system

[00:06:51] in the United States is a very complex issue

[00:06:53] that affects many families, that affects patients.

[00:06:56] Let's make it so that whatever solutions we're providing

[00:06:59] are patient-centered, right?

[00:07:00] And I think as speaking as a provider myself,

[00:07:02] I've seen the ill effects of burnout,

[00:07:05] the ill effects of mental health amongst providers.

[00:07:07] A lot of it is we have the necessary tools

[00:07:10] that we've learned in medical school

[00:07:11] or our professional training.

[00:07:13] There's technology that exists there.

[00:07:15] Really be technology that augments

[00:07:16] what a provider is able to do.

[00:07:18] Provide that high tech to someone

[00:07:21] that really wants to connect with people

[00:07:23] in more of that high touch capacity.

[00:07:25] And that's where I think a lot of these solutions

[00:07:26] will exercise their greatest impact.

[00:07:29] And the more that I think we can align around that focus,

[00:07:33] the more patients have to tell their story less

[00:07:35] because that data is there.

[00:07:36] It's going to pop, right?

[00:07:37] That story is telling itself to a greater extent.

[00:07:40] And then in terms of reaching out to us,

[00:07:42] we're available on social media.

[00:07:44] We have a LinkedIn profile, Discern Health.

[00:07:46] We have an ex or Twitter account, Discern Health.

[00:07:49] We have a website at discernhealth.ai.

[00:07:52] So feel free to reach out to us.

[00:07:54] Glad to talk to anybody that got interested

[00:07:56] in some of the work that we're doing.

[00:07:57] Amazing.

[00:07:57] Folks, a lot of ways to get in touch with Dr. Paolo Pino

[00:08:00] and his team at Discern Health.

[00:08:02] We'll leave everything in the show notes

[00:08:04] so you could get in touch.

[00:08:05] Dr. Pino, thanks for being with us today.

[00:08:07] Thank you for having me.

[00:08:08] Appreciate it.